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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2222

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, September 03, 2026 22:44:06
    ACUS11 KWNS 032243
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032243
    PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-040015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2222
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0543 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026

    Areas affected...portions of northern Ohio into far western
    Pennsylvania

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 649...

    Valid 032243Z - 040015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 649
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for primarily damaging/severe wind gusts
    continues across portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 649.

    DISCUSSION...An ongoing MCS continues to persist across portions of
    northern Ohio as of 2240 UTC, with wind gusts of 60 and 62 mph
    recently measured in Cleveland/Elyria, OH, vicinity. Recent radar
    imagery from KCLE indicates that the system outflow has outpaced the
    deeper convective cores along the southwestern flank of the MCS but
    remains more co-located with the deeper updrafts farther to the
    northeast. However, the downstream environment across northeastern
    Ohio is characterized by cooler surface temperatures and increased
    static stability owing to the passage of prior convection, which is
    likely contributing to a weakening of this MCS as indicated by
    recent lightning trends. Thus, some uncertainty exists regarding the
    downstream intensity of convection, but at least some risk for
    primarily damaging/severe wind gusts is likely to persist downstream
    across portions of northern/eastern Ohio for at least another 1-2
    hours.

    ..Chalmers.. 09/03/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6YLRD3wykfCS-vIzlQGsdvq6UdLbc2vIdmmvSJ4PVtAiIAbaGyO_a0vqirwCrGHOFpZJ_-Z9kMJy9ay8SiJztEfFJ54$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...

    LAT...LON 40638384 40788396 40928390 41008363 41048319 41278212
    41488139 41688112 41838100 41748080 41318043 40948032
    40578052 40248118 40218253 40518354 40638384

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)